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</html>";s:4:"text";s:11663:"Figure 6 – Real GDP growth compared to other advanced economies. Other significant positive contributions came from information & communication (2.7 percent vs 0.6 percent); professional, scientific, technical, admin, and support (0.7% after showing no growth); manufacturing (0.6 percent vs -1.0 percent); construction (0.6 percent vs -0.9 percent) and agriculture (1.5 percent vs 0.1 percent). Treasury forecasts released yesterday showed that while New Zealand’s response to Covid-19 helped lessen the short-term economic shock, massive debt and continuing disruptions will delay a full recovery. Also, the goods-producing industries contracted 16.3%, after dropping 2.8% in the prior quarter, of which construction (-25.8% vs -4.1%) and manufacturing (-13% vs -2.2%). Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update 2020 published on 16 September 2020. The forecasts should therefore be read in conjunction with the alternative scenarios in the 2020 Budget Update. Industry accounts for 17 percent of GDP with manufacturing constituting 13 percent and construction 4 percent. Growth has been hit by a standstill in economic activity as a strict nationwide coronavirus lockdown in April and parts of May forced almost everyone to stay at home and businesses to shut. The economic outlook chapter of the Treasury's 2020 Budget Update considers how the economic outlook may change when the full amount of COVID-19 support is incorporated. The economy grew at 2.4 per cent in the year to June 2019. Calendar Forecast … The Public Finance (Wellbeing) Amendment Bill is currently at the Second Reading phase of the legislative process and is scheduled to pass later this year. Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly 200 countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices. In contrast, output in utilities (1.5 percent vs 0.8 percent) and public administration & safety (5.4 percent vs 4.3 percent) accelerated. The outlook was looking a bit more positive for the Reserve Bank than was includedin the August MPS forecasts, Zollner said. Meanwhile, construction dropped 4.1 percent and the transport, postal, and warehousing industry shrank 5.2 percent. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, real GDP growth in the year to December 2019 was higher than many of our international peers (Figure 6). The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in New Zealand was worth 206.93 billion US dollars in 2019, according to official data from the World Bank and projections from Trading Economics. New Zealand Business Sentiment Improves Solidly, New Zealand Trade Deficit Narrows in September, New Zealand Inflation Rate Slows to Over 2-Year Low, New Zealand Services Sector Returns to Growth, New Zealand Manufacturing PMI Rises Further in September, New Zealand Credit Card Spending Rebounds, New Zealand Food Inflation Drops to 3.1% YoY, New Zealand Tourist Arrivals Decline 97% in August, China Services Growth at 7-Year High: NBS, China Manufacturing Expands for 8th Month: NBS, Dollar Up for 3rd Day to Book Best Week in a Month, TSX Drops on Friday, Books 4.5% Weekly Loss, Brent Crude Down for 3rd Day to Book Biggest Weekly Loss since April, WTI Crude Tumbles 11% in October on Demand Concerns. Related content. New Zealand - Economic Forecasts - 2020-2022 Outlook. The Treasury's forecasts for Government finances and the economy are published in Budget documents titled Economic and Fiscal Updates (EFUs). In comparison, second quarter economic growth in neighbouring Australia which enforced a less stringent Covid-19 lockdown fell 7.0 per cent, while the United States recorded a 9.1 per cent drop. New Zealand’s GDP expanded 0.7 percent on quarter in the three months to September 2019, up from a 0.1 percent advance in the previous period to beat market expectations of a 0.6 percent rise. Early indicators such as the number of daily arrivals of non-New Zealand passport holders have fallen to near zero as New Zealand closed its borders to limit the spread of COVID-19 (Figure 8). Related Links. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects a decline in global economic activity not seen in peacetime since the Great Depression of the 1930s, with annual global growth expected to fall to -3.0 per cent in 2020 (Figure 7). An in-depth discussion of the economic outlook, topical issues and forecasts. Our forecasts for the New Zealand economy, interest rates and exchange rates. Calendar Forecast Indicators News. In the past year the unemployment rate was the lowest in a decade, and growth in annual hourly earnings was the highest it has been in a decade. This page has economic forecasts for New Zealand including a long-term outlook for the next decades, plus medium-term expectations for the next four quarters and short-term market predictions for the next release affecting the New Zealand economy. During May and June, as many economies tentatively reopened from the Great Lockdown, the global economy started to climb from the depths to which it had plunged in April. When is a two-stage BBC process required? New Zealand is growing faster than other advanced economies, such as Australia, Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom and the Euro area. In the same vein, economists have learned … ANZ Bank chief economist Sharon Zollner. A Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update (PREFU) is required to be published prior to a general election. These factors help to support household consumption and business investment growth. We expect that the RBNZ will drop the OCR 50bps in April next year, but risks around this outlook are looking more balanced, rather than firmly to the downside. New Zealand’s economy advanced 1.8 percent year-on-year in fourth quarter of 2019, easing from a 2.3 percent expansion in the previous period and matching market expectations. A greater-than-expected slow down in global growth would impact the New Zealand economy through a range of channels, including reduced demand for exports, commodity price movements, lower confidence and shifts in financial conditions and asset prices. It was the second consecutive quarterly contraction and the sharpest on record, officially entering recession amid the coronavirus crisis. New Zealand Debt Management today cut its 2020-21 bond sales program by NZ$10 billion to NZ$50 billion. Should we fear the coming zombie company apocalypse? ", New Zealand's economic outlook brighter, but still terrible - NZ Herald, Election 2020: Prefu - Covid-19 impact on NZ economy not as bad as feared but 'profound uncertainty', Covid 19 coronavirus: Impact on NZ economy 'may not be as severe' as predicted - NZ Herald, Higher Fonterra forecast means $10 billion boost for rural economy - NZ Herald, Forsyth Barr humbled by sharebroker of the year title. The economy grew at 2.4 per cent in the year to June 2019. Economists at New Zealand's largest bank have upgraded their forecasts for the coming year, picking the booming housing market will boost confidence. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand had forecast a quarterly and annual GDP decline of 14 per cent in its August statement. However, New Zealand is a small, open economy and is experiencing the impacts of global headwinds like the US-China trade war, uncertainty around Brexit and geopolitical tensions in places like the Middle East and Hong Kong. The Trading Economics Application Programming Interface (API) provides direct access to our data. In the past year the unemployment rate was the lowest in a decade, and growth in annual hourly earnings was the highest it has been in a decade. New Zealand’s most developed industries are focused on tourism and exports of agricultural products and are the main source of growth. Watchdog warns of rise in scammers' activity, British PM Boris Johnson set to announce national lockdown, Deal or no deal? The REINZ House Price Index this week showed an increase of 11.1 per cent to a new high. Also, agriculture, forestry & fishing shrank 0.2 percent, after expanding 2.4 percent in Q3. With the outbreak of COVID-19 almost all advanced countries are facing a public health and economic challenge. On a quarterly basis, the economy expanded 0.5 percent, faster than a 0.7 percent increase in the prior period. Contraction of over 12% slightly better than central bank's forecast The most recent published forecast is the: The next forecast will be the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2020 to be published at a date yet to be determined. Size of the economy in current prices $308 billion June 2020 year Gross domestic product (GDP) provides a snapshot of the performance of the economy. While the crisis continues to unfold, the COVID-19 pandemic has already had a widespread, global impact, with countries grappling with the economic implications and the steps needed to contain the virus. New bruiser Clarke compared with All Blacks legend, All Blacks blow away Wallabies to take grip on Bledisloe Cup. Economists say the GDP data will have little impact on the central bank’s policy, which is expected to hold interest rates at a record low of 0.25 per cent at its meeting on September 23. The unfolding nature of the crisis and the challenges in predicting the depth and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic means that the economic outlook is highly uncertain and forecasts will change as more information comes to light. Growth over this period is supported by low interest rates, Government investment and a slight recovery in trading partner growth. The GDP data confirms New Zealand’s worst recession, defined as two straight quarters of contraction, since 2010, with GDP in the March quarter falling 1.6 per cent. August 2020 Health authorities have learned a lot about Covid-19, such as the value of wearing facemasks. "The unemployment rate is expected to rise a bit more slowly than previously assumed, with activity a little stronger, the wage subsidy delaying job losses, and effects of the closed border not evident just yet.". The Treasury has published a number of research and policy publications on forecasting issues - some of which are below. Services are the biggest sector of the economy and account for 75 percent of total GDP including: finance, insurance and business services (30 percent); personal and community services (13 percent), and transport and communication (11 percent). This Coalition Government published a Wellbeing Outlook as part of our first Wellbeing Budget last year. "But downside risks remain. The economy grew at 2.4 per cent in the year to June 2019. GDP Growth Rate in New Zealand averaged 0.63 percent from 1987 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 2.80 percent in the third quarter of 1999 and a record low of -2.40 percent in the first quarter of 1991. The ANZ Business Outlook Survey has also pointed to a steady improvement in confidence for the past two months - albeit from low levels. It was the weakest growth rate since the last quarter of 2013, amid a slowdown in retail trade (3.4 percent vs 3.6 percent in Q3), information media & telecommunications (3.4 percent vs 4 percent), manufacturing (0.3 percent vs 0.9 percent). — Reuters, New Zealand approves euthanasia, set to reject recreational marijuana, The next Lomu? New Zealand's fiscal position was strong. Annual real GDP growth is forecast to become positive from the year ending June 2022 (Figure 9). Services weighed the most to the drop, as hospitality (accommodation, restaurants, and bars) was among the most affected industries, falling 7.8 percent and tourism declining after the border was closed to slow the spread of the coronavirus. ";s:7:"keyword";s:29:"new zealand gdp forecast 2020";s:5:"links";s:8454:"<a href='https://crosscurrentcommunications.net/docs/b14002-da-drought-3-tracklist'>Da Drought 3 Tracklist</a>,
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